A lot of pundits are treating the falling
price of oil as a Saudi move to try to preserve market share. I think Saudi Arabia is trying to put the Iranian mullahs out
of the nuclear arms business. The House of Saud is so
scared of an Iran with nukes, they talk about how much they have in common with
Israel during newspaper interviews. I think they have rightfully concluded that the
Chicago Machine Prodigy in Chief will not treat the Iranians anywhere near as
tough as he does Republicans and that it's up to them or the Israelis to stop
an Iranian bomb. The Israelis would have to use nukes to do the job, so the
Saudis decided to use the oil weapon. The Iranian
government depends on oil revenue for 65% of its budget. The mullahs need an oil price of $100 to $130 a
barrel in order to support their internal subsidies for food and gasoline, pay
for their extensive and expensive internal security organizations and support
Hezbollah in Lebanon, Assad in Syria and Shiite militia groups in Iraq. All
those centrifuges processing uranium to make weapons are hugely expensive
also. Iran has minimal foreign exchange
reserves. At $50 a barrel for their oil, the Iranian government goes broke in a
year or two, maybe less. The Saudis are getting the added benefit of crippling
Russia at the same time. Saudis would like to damage Russia because Putin has
been selling arms to Assad in Syria and, in addition to arms, has sold a
reactor to Iran that can be used to make plutonium for a bomb. Russia gains
most of its foreign exchange from oil and natural gas sales. The price of
natural gas is under pressure from US fracking and the prospect of increasing
US liquid natural gas exports. With the oil price at half of the $100 a barrel
Putin needs to stay in business and the ruble down 30-40% against the dollar,
things don't look so good for Putin. All the companies his oligarch buddies own
have a lot of debt to European banks due in the next two years. They can't refinance because of the sanctions
prompted by Putin's Ukrainian aggression. The oligarchs may be tempted to
replace Putin with somebody who would be better for business just like mobsters
get rid of guys who attract too much heat from the cops. I think the stress
that the lower oil price puts on US producers is a side benefit for the Saudis.
The main target is Iran, with a secondary target of Russia.
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A Call for Healing
Dec 1, 2014
Benghazi Situation is What an Intelligence Failure Looks Like
The Intelligence Committees in both the House and the Senate
have equal numbers of Republicans and Democrats. Foreign intelligence is
supposed to be bipartisan. In this case it's obvious that the report is a
compromise that the Democrats could accept which spares the intelligence
community any blame. I don't understand how nobody was on alert on September
11, 2012, the anniversary of the 2001 attack. There were no fighter bombers,
tanker aircraft or strategic reaction ground security forces on alert anywhere
in the region. Benghazi is a port, but there were no navy ships in the area for
fire support. The attack went on for 13 hours. All during that time, as I
understand it, there was only one unarmed drone that managed to be over
Benghazi during the attack. No air support was even launched from Aviano and
there were not air refueling aircraft in Sicily to meet them even if they were
launched. That situation, a totally unprepared military, is what an
intelligence failure looks like.
Republicans Should Clear Out the Congressional Budget Office
As a Vietnam Era Veteran, I think we should modify "Search
and Destroy" to "Search and Separate" any holdovers in any
politically appointed positions as every office changes hands. This ESPECIALLY
applies to the CBO. They score the bills. If you want to see any tax reform at
all, you have to clear out every Liberal in there like Boss Tweed would have
done in the bad old patronage days. This ain't no time to play nice. These guys
are ruling by decree from 1600 Pennsylvania Avenue and counting on the Justice
Department not to prosecute obvious Obstruction of Justice in the IRS case. We
need to clear the decks to stop all of this unconstitutional, lawless behavior.
We can't leave snipers in the rear to stop our bills on budget technicalities
when they get the word from our Dear Leader.
Obama Won't Make Any Deals with Republicans, RINO or Otherwise
Conservatives have
taken to worrying about whether Republicans in Name Only will make bad deals
with Barry the Magnificent. Since Obama
won't work with any Republican, it really doesn't matter what RINOs want to do.
I'm not the first to notice that the US would be a lot better off if Obama
would treat negotiations with Iran more like he does negotiations with
Republicans and negotiations with Republicans more like negotiations with Iran.
At this point, our Dear Leader's hubris has gotten to the point that he thinks
he can rule by decree without any backing from even the Democrats in Congress.
The Smartest President Ever only needs to bounce his ideas off Valerie Jarret
and David Axelrod in order to make decisions. Cabinet level appointments are
used as the designated fall guys. It's pathetic. The bumper sticker I have on
my car says it all: "Worst President Ever." And yes, it does have an
Obama Campaign "O."
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