Democrats
believe that Saudi Arabia and Israel will wait patiently until Iran uses the
benefits of Obama's deal to gather enough strength to kill them. The deal
frees $150 billion in frozen assets that Iran can use to buy weapons, train
terrorists and finance weapons development. The agreement allows the
inspection of only "civilian" Iranian nuclear sites and allows the
Iranians to demand 24 days advance notice of inspections. So Democrats
believe this deal has secured peace in our time.
I believe that Saudi Arabia and Israel will attack
Iran very soon after the deal goes into effect because both Saudis and Israelis
believe that Iran's threats to convert or kill all Sunni Muslims in Saudi
Arabia and to wipe Israel off the map are exactly what the Iranians intend to
do if given the chance.
Iran's economy is very easy to damage. About 90% of Iran's oil exports flow through the big oil terminal on Kharg Island, 16 miles off shore. The Iraqi air force knocked out Kharg Island during the 198-1988 Iran Iraq war. Both Saudi Arabia and Israel have air forces far superior to the Iraqi air force of the 80's.
Iran's economy is very easy to damage. About 90% of Iran's oil exports flow through the big oil terminal on Kharg Island, 16 miles off shore. The Iraqi air force knocked out Kharg Island during the 198-1988 Iran Iraq war. Both Saudi Arabia and Israel have air forces far superior to the Iraqi air force of the 80's.
Also,
while Iran has lots of crude oil, it has no oil refineries. They import
all refined oil products, including gasoline, diesel and kerosene.
Kerosene is widely used for home cooking, so shortages would cause
political instability. Mining Iran's major ports from the air would stop the
importation almost all refined imports.
To sum up, in my view, no deal means continuing the brush fire
wars of the Middle East. Singing the agreement means a general war in the
Middle East that would
likely escalate to nuclear weapons. Liberals who back the deal with Iran
are the real war mongers.
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